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China has regained economic stability, but clues are in the weeds of finance

21st March 2017 There’s a cute expression that last did the rounds after Lehman went belly-up. As the destruction of balance sheets tore through the the financial system, the black cry rang out that  ‘there’s nothing right on the left

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Posted in Viewpoints Tagged with: , , ,

Can Merkel and Trump work together?

First published: CapX, 16/03/2017 Stormy weather has shifted Angela Merkel’s trip to see the US President to tomorrow; it provides the perfect metaphor for German-US relations. There are several contentious foreign policy issues, some of which have gone off the boil

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Posted in Europe + UK, United States Tagged with: , , ,

What Fed’s new tightening cycle holds for Asia

First published: Nikkei Asian Review, 16/03/2016 Higher interest rates could disrupt region’s economic growth The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates for only the third time this decade at its Wednesday meeting. The policy rate now stands at 0.75-1%. The

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Posted in Emerging Markets, United States Tagged with: , , ,

What did Philip Hammond’s first Budget amount to?

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 8/03/2017 He had little to say about long-term macroeconomic issues Chancellor Philip Hammond’s last spring Budget—this ritual is going to be merged with the Autumn Statement—was never going to be remarkable. It was full of gags (credit

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Posted in Europe + UK Tagged with: ,

Calm before the US-China trade storm

First published: Nikkei Asian Review, 6/03/2017 The Trump administration is likely to unleash a tough policy sooner or later Many Japanese might be reminded of their own thorny trade relations with the U.S. as they watch the current trade dispute

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Posted in China, United States Tagged with: , ,

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"George Magnus does not look like a prophet. Yet this is the man widely acknowledged to have predicted that the US sub-prime mortgage crisis would trigger a global recession." Josephine Moulds, The Daily Telegraph