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Calm before the US-China trade storm

First published: Nikkei Asian Review, 6/03/2017 The Trump administration is likely to unleash a tough policy sooner or later Many Japanese might be reminded of their own thorny trade relations with the U.S. as they watch the current trade dispute

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Three factors behind a looming US-China trade war

First published: Nikkei Asian Review, 26/01/2017 Early indications suggest tit-for-tat actions could escalate into trade war Over a matter of days, the world has been treated to a curious spectacle. On the battlefield of globalization, in which trade has become

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China’s Currency Policies Need an Overhaul

First published: Bloomberg Views, 10/01/2017 The irony of the yuan rally that took bears by surprise last week was that the surge came just days before China announced that its foreign currency reserves shrank by $41 billion in December. The stockpile is

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If Trump means to start a trade war, China cannot afford to back down

First published: The Times, 31/12/2016 China’s new year, the Year of the Rooster, falls a few weeks later than in the west. According to astrologists, the configuration of elements suggests a year of disharmony and international conflict. What our calendar’s

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Trump has put US-China relations in the balance

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 13/12/2016 His talk of currency manipulation could lead to a trade war In an interview with Fox News over the weekend, the President-Elect said he didn’t know why the United States should be bound by the One

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"George Magnus does not look like a prophet. Yet this is the man widely acknowledged to have predicted that the US sub-prime mortgage crisis would trigger a global recession." Josephine Moulds, The Daily Telegraph