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Europe + UK articles

French election: What the result could mean for the country’s economy

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 7/02/2017 Macronomics is “in tune with what a modern European economy needs”—Le Pen is not On Sunday, in front of a crowd of about 3,000 supporters in Lyon, Front National leader Marine Le Pen formally launched her

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UK-US trade deal cheerleading will be drowned out by complexity

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 27/01/2017 Today’s Trump-May press conference contained nothing of substance on the matter—and no wonder Standing next to President Donald Trump, Theresa May spoke for rather longer than her host at their first press conference on Friday. The

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Economy isn’t as robust as Brexiters think

First published: InFacts, 20/01/2017 The buoyant state of the UK economy has gotten a lot of tongues wagging recently, including those whose predictions of a Leave vote aftermath have fallen on stony ground. Remainers got their short-term economic forecasts wrong,

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The UK economy: now comes the hard part

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 9/01/2017 Forecasters got it wrong in some respects—but the economy could still take a beating over the coming years Discussing the UK economic outlook in a TV studio interview recently, the economist I was debating turned to

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Italy votes for instability

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 5/12/2016 The political drama is obscuring a deeper problem with the economy In at least three respects, the decision by Italian voters to reject Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reform proposals in a referendum differs from Brexit

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"George Magnus does not look like a prophet. Yet this is the man widely acknowledged to have predicted that the US sub-prime mortgage crisis would trigger a global recession." Josephine Moulds, The Daily Telegraph