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UK economy came through the referendum ok, now comes the hard part

10th January 2017 Discussing the UK economic outlook in a TV studio interview recently, the other economist turned to me at one point and said ‘Look, the economy’s fine, you should cheer up’. In one respect, of course, she was

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The UK economy: now comes the hard part

First published: Prospectmagazine.co.uk, 9/01/2017 Forecasters got it wrong in some respects—but the economy could still take a beating over the coming years Discussing the UK economic outlook in a TV studio interview recently, the economist I was debating turned to

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Good economic news and ominous tail risks

6th January 2017 It’s not for nothing that economics is sometimes called the dismal science. Yet it isn’t always true that economists are gloomy. Now is such a moment, especially compared with this time last year, when equity markets were

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Crowing about the economy

First published: Prospect Magazine, 17/12/2013 This week should see a flow of pretty good economic news for the Chancellor and for the Government. Today, the November Consumer Price Index, which measures inflation, dropped from 2.1 per cent and is now

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"George Magnus does not look like a prophet. Yet this is the man widely acknowledged to have predicted that the US sub-prime mortgage crisis would trigger a global recession." Josephine Moulds, The Daily Telegraph